State Pension Forecast Calculator
Forecast your State Pension from the 2026/27 full rate of £241.30 a week, with State Pension age from your date of birth and an uprating assumption.
Enter your figures and click Forecast.
How the forecast works
- 2026/27 baseline rate. The new State Pension full rate is £241.30/week from 6 April 2026 (DWP Proposed Benefit and Pension Rates 2026 to 2027). 35 qualifying NI years = full rate; 10 minimum to get any payment; pro-rated linearly in between. That linear rule is exact for a record that starts on or after 6 April 2016. For an earlier record gov.uk says: "If you were contracted out, you will usually need more than 35 qualifying years to get the full rate of new State Pension", and some people get a protected payment above the full rate (gov.uk new State Pension guide).
- Triple lock projection. Each year the State Pension rises by the higher of: CPI inflation (September previous year), average weekly earnings growth (May-July), or 2.5% (the floor). The statutory minimum is an earnings link (Social Security Administration Act 1992 s.150A); the CPI and 2.5% elements are government policy. The forecast applies your assumption once for each April from 2027 up to your State Pension age. For comparison, the full new State Pension averaged 4.5% a year over the 10 upratings from 2016/17 to 2026/27.
- Future years accrued. Years between your current age and State Pension Age are assumed to be NI-qualifying if you're working full-time + earning above the Lower Earnings Limit (£6,708/year 2026/27). NI credits also count - claiming Child Benefit for a child under 12, receiving Carer's Allowance, etc.
- Voluntary Class 3 top-up. Class 3 NI 2026/27 weekly rate is £18.40 per week = £956.80/year per qualifying year (gov.uk Voluntary NI rates). Buys 1/35th of the full new SP = £6.89/week (£358.50/year) in 2026/27 prices, so it pays for itself after about 2.7 years of receipt, if the extra year actually raises your pension (it may not if you were contracted out). Up to 6 prior years can usually be filled; check eligibility on gov.uk before paying.
- Today's money discount. Future nominal pension is discounted at the CPI assumption to express in current purchasing power. The actual real-terms outcome depends on whether wages or CPI dominate the triple lock over your remaining career.
Worked example: aged 40, 20 years accrued
Default scenario: born 6 April 1986, so aged 40 at the start of 2026/27. Anyone born on or after 6 April 1978 has a State Pension age of 68, so this person reaches it in 2054, 28 years away. 20 qualifying years now plus 28 more = 35 (capped). Full new SP at State Pension age.
- 2026/27 base: £241.30/week = £12,547.60/year.
- 28 April upratings at an assumed 3.0%: £241.30/week × 1.0328 ≈ £552/week nominal.
- Assumed 2% CPI over the same 28 years: divide by 1.0228 ≈ £317/week in 2026/27 prices.
- Under these two assumptions, uprating 1 point above inflation adds about 31% in real terms over 28 years. Both are assumptions; neither is a forecast.
Sources + caveats
- Current new State Pension rate per DWP Proposed Benefit and Pension Rates 2026 to 2027. Qualifying-years rules per the Pensions Act 2014 ss.2-4 (entitlement at the full, reduced and transitional rates).
- The triple lock is government policy, not statute, and could be replaced or scaled back.
- State Pension age timetable (Pensions Act 1995 Sch 4, as amended): 66 for those born 6 October 1954 to 5 April 1960; phased up to 67 for births from 6 April 1960 to 5 March 1961 (Pensions Act 2014 s.26); 67 for births 6 March 1961 to 5 April 1977; phased up to 68 between 2044 and 2046 for births from 6 April 1977 to 5 April 1978; 68 for births on or after 6 April 1978. The third State Pension age review, launched in July 2025, could change the later part of this timetable.
- Class 3 voluntary NI 2026/27 weekly rate £18.40 per gov.uk Voluntary NI rates page. Top-ups are normally possible up to 6 tax years back. The extended window for gaps from April 2006 to April 2017 (open to men born after 5 April 1951 and women born after 5 April 1953) closed on 5 April 2025 (DWP/HMRC).
- For your authoritative figure use gov.uk/check-state-pension. Not pension advice; consider regulated advice before paying Class 3.